Data: Bitcoin momentum indicator drops to -59, 30-day active buying demand turns negative
According to analyst Adler's latest post, the Bitcoin Impulse indicator, which reflects Bitcoin price momentum, has dropped to -59, indicating that market momentum has quickly turned negative; meanwhile, the 30-day Net Taker Volume Position Change indicator, which measures changes in active buying and selling power, has also fallen below the zero axis for the first time in nearly three months, suggesting that the active buying demand that drove the previous upward trend has basically been exhausted.
Momentum indicators typically lead changes in capital flow. Currently, both the fast and slow momentum indicators are in deep negative territory, with the fast momentum close to -90 and the slow momentum quickly dropping to -59 after falling below the zero axis at the end of May. On the other hand, although the 30-day active buying demand indicator has just turned negative, it has not yet entered the "bear market zone."
Adler believes that the current market is transitioning from a "buyer-dominated" phase to a "seller-dominated" phase, with an overall risk-off state. If active buying demand further declines and enters the bear market zone, while momentum continues to remain negative, it will further confirm the market's bearish trend; conversely, if active buying returns above the zero axis, it may provide an opportunity for market rebound.
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