The probability of "Spurs winning the 2026 NBA Championship" on Polymarket dropped to 47% after the game, and the total trading volume in the related OmenX market reached 18.4 million dollars
In the first game of the 2026 NBA Finals, the Spurs unexpectedly lost to the Knicks despite the market generally favoring the Spurs before the game. The probability of "Spurs winning the 2026 NBA Championship" on Polymarket dropped from 64% before the game to 47% after the game, a decrease of 17% within 24 hours; the probability of "Knicks winning the championship" rose to 54%.
Meanwhile, since the launch of the NBA Championship prediction market on the Base native leverage prediction market OmenX, the total trading volume of this market has reached $18.4 million, with a 24-hour trading volume of $1.8 million. OmenX currently supports up to 5x leverage, allowing users to engage in leveraged prediction trading around real-time NBA games and championship events.
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