US Treasury Doubles Buybacks, Markets Remain Cautious
Washington is buying back its own debt. The U.S. Treasury has at least doubled the maximum size of its buyback operations on long-term bonds. Since September 9, the ceiling applied to maturities between ten and thirty years has increased from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. Scott Bessent even reserves the possibility of going further.
The official goal is to improve the liquidity of a pressured market. However, these buybacks can also support the price of the affected bonds and weigh on their yields. Bitcoin investors therefore see a possible easing of financial conditions, even though the operation remains very different from a Federal Reserve purchase program.
Key Points
- The U.S. Treasury has at least doubled its buybacks of long-term bonds, financed by the issuance of short-term bills.
- The program officially aims at market liquidity, with no declared objective of capping yields.
- The buybacks must be offset by new issuances, but their exclusive financing through short-term bills is not established.
- The GENIUS Act could strengthen demand for short debt due to stablecoin reserves.
U.S. Treasury Increases Long Bond Buybacks
During a buyback, the Treasury repurchases bonds already held by investors before their maturity. This operation can facilitate trading on older issues, which are sometimes less liquid than recently issued securities.
The program has existed since May 2024. Initially, the Treasury planned up to $30 billion in quarterly buybacks aimed at supporting liquidity, along with cash management operations. In August 2026, it raised the ceiling applicable to each intervention on long maturities by at least $2 to $4 billion. The first expanded operation ultimately had a ceiling of $6 billion and allowed for the repurchase of $5.19 billion in securities.
However, this increase does not guarantee a sustained decrease in yields. The U.S. thirty-year rate reached 5.19% on the day of the announcement, then 5.37% during the first enhanced operation. The market quickly absorbed the signal sent by Washington.
Scott Bessent explained that the Treasury wanted to << make a market >> on these bonds and show that it considered yields excessive in light of fundamentals. In contrast, his phrase << I am the house now >> referred to an intervention on the yen and his knowledge of Japanese decisions. Directly linking it to debt buybacks would be misleading.
 
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